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🔮 Are we any good at planning?

Apr 14, 2023

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11 min read

🔮 Are we any good at planning?

Future-oriented thinking, the planning fallacy, and how we construct memories to simulate the future

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 Our dangerous tendency to overcommit and tools to mitigate overconfidence

Mar 29, 2023

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15 min read

🔮 Our dangerous tendency to overcommit and tools to mitigate overconfidence

Status quo bias, tripwires, and wrapping up the conversation on conviction

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 The role of conviction and narrative in decision making

Mar 16, 2023

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19 min read

🔮 The role of conviction and narrative in decision making

Conviction as a superpower, why we tend to be overly optimistic, and how outcome trees help us map potential outcomes

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 OKRs and goal setting through the lens of decision making

Mar 9, 2023

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16 min read

🔮 OKRs and goal setting through the lens of decision making

Exploring how goals help teams make better decisions, strategic misrepresentation, and the power of 'Even Over' statements

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 We're Live! The Uncertainty Project v1.0

Mar 6, 2023

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4 min read

🔮 We're Live! The Uncertainty Project v1.0

We’re finally opening up the first iteration (v1.0) of The Uncertainty Project.

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 How 'collective illusions' impact group decision making

Mar 2, 2023

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14 min read

🔮 How 'collective illusions' impact group decision making

Why teams should be aware of how beliefs form, the bandwagon effect and techniques for challenging the status quo

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
🔮 Navigating uncertainty, risk, and evidence-based bets

Feb 23, 2023

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10 min read

🔮 Navigating uncertainty, risk, and evidence-based bets

Zero-risk bias, value engineering, and why we're changing our name 👀

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
📘The cognitive illusions that shape our decision making

Feb 15, 2023

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13 min read

📘The cognitive illusions that shape our decision making

How optical illusions help us think about biases, the dangers of confirmation bias, and how Amazon makes decisions

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
📘 Artificial Intelligence vs Human Decision Making

Feb 9, 2023

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13 min read

📘 Artificial Intelligence vs Human Decision Making

Uniquely human factors, confidence, and the power of team forecasting

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
📘 Communication starts before a decision is made

Feb 1, 2023

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11 min read

📘 Communication starts before a decision is made

Pre-decision communication and why we tend to overestimate agreement in others

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
📘 What makes a 'good' decision, good?

Jan 25, 2023

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12 min read

📘 What makes a 'good' decision, good?

Exploring what research tells us a 'good' decision is and how we can focus on what matters

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
📘 High-velocity decision making

Jan 18, 2023

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10 min read

📘 High-velocity decision making

How teams can combat groupthink and make better decisions, faster

The Uncertainty Team
The Uncertainty Team
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The Uncertainty Project

The Uncertainty Project

High performing teams make better decisions, faster. We share models, techniques, and thought provoking research on strategic decision making and navigating uncertainty.


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