The Uncertainty Project
High performing teams make better decisions, faster. We share models, techniques, and thought provoking research on strategic decision making and navigating uncertainty.
Written by
John May, +1
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May 2, 2023
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9 min read
Featuring Chris Butler, Lead PM at Google - we also highlight 'Decision Rights' and better tools for disagreeing
Mar 16, 2023
19 min read
Conviction as a superpower, why we tend to be overly optimistic, and how outcome trees help us map potential outcomes
Mar 9, 2023
16 min read
Exploring how goals help teams make better decisions, strategic misrepresentation, and the power of 'Even Over' statements
Jul 6, 2025
15 min read
Harnessing the power of portfolios in the Product Operating Model
Jun 29, 2025
11 min read
How to adapt when every team is empowered to deliver value
May 11, 2025
12 min read
Completing the tour through Amar Bhide's "Uncertainty and Enterprise"
May 4, 2025
13 min read
A two-part tour through Amar Bhide's "Uncertainty and Enterprise"
Apr 6, 2025
10 min read
Considering the varied skillsets needed to try out these new ideas
Mar 30, 2025
Pivoting from a focus on Bayesian priors to a focus on reference narratives
Feb 23, 2025
How our organizational DNA shapes our organizational culture
Jan 29, 2025
Examples of simple Strategy 5x5s for mid-level managers
Jan 22, 2025
Examples of Strategy 5x5s for technical leaders