The Uncertainty Project
High performing teams make better decisions, faster. We share models, techniques, and thought provoking research on strategic decision making and navigating uncertainty.
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Featuring Chris Butler, Lead PM at Google - we also highlight 'Decision Rights' and better tools for disagreeing
Exploring how goals help teams make better decisions, strategic misrepresentation, and the power of 'Even Over' statements
Conviction as a superpower, why we tend to be overly optimistic, and how outcome trees help us map potential outcomes
Tracking Uncertainty with Win Probability Charts
Value-Based Strategy
Building competitive power
Anyone creating value has a customer, and has competition
Strategic Decision Making with Applied Information Economics
Reframing the challenge as getting from less sure to more sure
Simple Frameworks from startups, growth hackers, software engineers, and more that help you make better decisions.
Thinking about the Value of Information
Skip the math, but keep the model
Scratching the surface of some big ideas
The dynamics of solutions in unique contexts and complex environments
Exploring decisions and uncertainty with Paul Krugman
