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Oliver Buchannon
John May
🔮 Transformation as BAU

Jul 6, 2025

•

15 min read

🔮 Transformation as BAU

Harnessing the power of portfolios in the Product Operating Model

John May
John May
 🔮 The Great Flattening

Jun 29, 2025

•

11 min read

🔮 The Great Flattening

How to adapt when every team is empowered to deliver value

John May
John May
🔮 Uncertainty as Doubt (Part 2)

May 11, 2025

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12 min read

🔮 Uncertainty as Doubt (Part 2)

Completing the tour through Amar Bhide's "Uncertainty and Enterprise"

John May
John May
🔮 Uncertainty as Doubt (Part 1)

May 4, 2025

•

13 min read

🔮 Uncertainty as Doubt (Part 1)

A two-part tour through Amar Bhide's "Uncertainty and Enterprise"

John May
John May
🔮 Exploring Changes, Together

Apr 6, 2025

•

10 min read

🔮 Exploring Changes, Together

Considering the varied skillsets needed to try out these new ideas

John May
John May
 🔮 Revisiting subjective probabilities

Mar 30, 2025

•

13 min read

🔮 Revisiting subjective probabilities

Pivoting from a focus on Bayesian priors to a focus on reference narratives

John May
John May
Coming Down the Mountain

Feb 23, 2025

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13 min read

Coming Down the Mountain

How our organizational DNA shapes our organizational culture

John May
John May
Getting started, exploring possibilities

Jan 29, 2025

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11 min read

Getting started, exploring possibilities

Examples of simple Strategy 5x5s for mid-level managers

John May
John May
Exploring strategy, technically speaking

Jan 22, 2025

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13 min read

Exploring strategy, technically speaking

Examples of Strategy 5x5s for technical leaders

John May
John May
Exploring possibilities, together

Jan 14, 2025

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15 min read

Exploring possibilities, together

Examples of Strategy 5x5s for business and product leaders

John May
John May
Improving Strategy Development with a Strategy 5x5

Jan 6, 2025

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12 min read

Improving Strategy Development with a Strategy 5x5

Effectively explore the possibilities, using an enabling constraint

John May
John May
🔮 Are We Gonna Win?

Aug 18, 2024

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18 min read

🔮 Are We Gonna Win?

Tracking Uncertainty with Win Probability Charts

John May
John May
🔮 Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 3

Aug 5, 2024

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16 min read

🔮 Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 3

Value-Based Strategy

John May
John May
Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 2

Jul 30, 2024

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10 min read

Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 2

Building competitive power

John May
John May
🔮 Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 1

Jul 21, 2024

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9 min read

🔮 Competition and Strategic Decisions - Part 1

Anyone creating value has a customer, and has competition

John May
John May
🔮 Understanding the Value of Information

Jun 30, 2024

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16 min read

🔮 Understanding the Value of Information

Strategic Decision Making with Applied Information Economics

John May
John May
🔮 An Argument for Probabilistic Thinking

Jun 20, 2024

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10 min read

🔮 An Argument for Probabilistic Thinking

Reframing the challenge as getting from less sure to more sure

John May
John May
🔮 Prioritization and Uncertainty

May 22, 2024

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16 min read

🔮 Prioritization and Uncertainty

Thinking about the Value of Information

John May
John May
🔮 Bayesian Thinking and Product Risks

May 5, 2024

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10 min read

🔮 Bayesian Thinking and Product Risks

Skip the math, but keep the model

John May
John May
🔮 Exploring Causality and Complexity in Strategy

Apr 28, 2024

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17 min read

🔮 Exploring Causality and Complexity in Strategy

Scratching the surface of some big ideas

John May
John May
🔮 Thinking more like an economist

Apr 13, 2024

•

10 min read

🔮 Thinking more like an economist

Exploring decisions and uncertainty with Paul Krugman

John May
John May
🔮 Applying Decision Hygiene to yield better judgment

Apr 6, 2024

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14 min read

🔮 Applying Decision Hygiene to yield better judgment

Noise cancellation headphones for the organization

John May
John May
🔮 Patterns of Decision Architecture

Mar 24, 2024

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12 min read

🔮 Patterns of Decision Architecture

Organizational behaviors that improve decision quality

John May
John May
🔮 Getting started, navigating uncertainty

Mar 10, 2024

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10 min read

🔮 Getting started, navigating uncertainty

Applying new ideas to old ways

John May
John May
🔮 Designing for aligned autonomy

Mar 2, 2024

•

15 min read

🔮 Designing for aligned autonomy

Insights on organizational design from Herbert Simon

John May
John May
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The Uncertainty Project

The Uncertainty Project

High performing teams make better decisions, faster. We share models, techniques, and thought provoking research on strategic decision making and navigating uncertainty.


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